From May 24th low to June 16th high, ES rallied an incredible 334 points, and as discussed extensively, this rally was caused by the breakout of a multi-month resistance at 4280ish, corresponding to the prior February 2023 and May 2023 highs. This was five green weeks in a row, and last week, ES began its first post-breakout correction by finally putting in a red week.
I wrote in my last newsletter on Friday: “Today was a complex session, and Monday should be also. My general lean is that after today’s short, ES can try again on Monday to re-test 4400” adding “We have had a 5 week rally, and its highly unlikely that ES simply resumes straight up without a longer phase of chop or correction”. This certainly described today and we got that re-test of 4400 followed by hours of choppy correction in the same range as Friday.
This tight range though will resolve with a good move. What way? In today’s newsletter, I’ll talk this, talk about my 3 types of setups, then provide the actionable trade plan for tomorrow.